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TheLines.com: Oddsmakers take notice of NFL’s early season surprises

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Most NFL seasons offer longshots that defy expectations, and through two weeks the Carolina Panthers and Las Vegas Raiders are riding high with 2-0 starts. Such surprise teams are a feature of today’s NFL, offering a significant payoff to bettors who identify those with lasting power early and fool’s gold for those teams headed for regression, according to TheLines, which tracks odds in U.S. regulated sports betting markets.

Fresh off their 26-17 road win over the Pittsburgh Steelers, the Raiders are a 5.5-point favorite to topple the Miami Dolphins in Week 3 and get off to a 3-0 start, according to a consensus of the nation’s largest legal online sportsbooks — including BetAmerica, BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel, PointsBet, SugarHouse, and Unibet. The odds for Las Vegas to win the Super Bowl moved from +10000 to win the Super Bowl — meaning bettors would win $10,000 for every $100 wagered — to +4700 in just two weeks. Meanwhile, the Panthers dismantled the New Orleans Saints 26-7 in Week 2, and are 7.5-point road favorites to beat the Houston Texans on Thursday night. In starting 2-0, the Panthers have moved from +9000 to win the Super Bowl to +5000 now.

The Denver Broncos and Arizona Cardinals are also off to surprising 2-0 starts, but neither were considered as big a longshot before Week 1 as the Raiders and Panthers.

Can these teams sustain the hot start to become true contenders? The odds are against them, but none would be the longest of longshots to win a Super Bowl. The 1999 St. Louis Rams were +30000 to win the Super Bowl before that season kicked off, one of the greatest underdogs to win a championship in a major North American sport.

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“Two weeks is too early to know whether a particular team can parlay a hot start into contention, or if regression is inevitable,” said Brett Collson, lead analyst for TheLines.com. “But surprise teams like the Panthers and Raiders can offer an intriguing bet even after their odds to win it all have improved.”

The consensus point spreads for Week 3 games, as of Monday, Sept. 20:

  • Carolina Panthers (-7.5) at Houston Texans; over/under 43
  • Washington Football Team at Buffalo Bills (-9); over/under 46.5
  • Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns (-7.5); over/under 47
  • Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) at Detroit Lions; over/under 48.5
  • Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-5); over/under 50.5
  • Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-7); over/under 54.5
  • New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots (-3); over/under 43.5
  • Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants (-3); over/under 48.5
  • Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5); over/under 44.5
  • Arizona Cardinals (-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars; over/under 52
  • New York Jets at Denver Broncos (-11); over/under 41.5
  • Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders (-5); over/under 45.5
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams (-1); over/under 54.5
  • Seattle Seahawks (-1) at Minnesota Vikings; over/under 55.5
  • Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-4); over/under 48.5
  • Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-4); over/under 51.5

To access the updated futures lines for every NFL team, and for more analysis, visit TheLines.com/odds/super-bowl. To access Week 3 odds, visit www.thelines.com/nfl-week-3-odds-2021/.

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BetMGM

BetMGM Expands Baseball Playoff Presence with League-wide Bullpen Advertisements

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New BetMGM Bullpen Jackpot promotion gives bettors a shot at $50,000 in bonus bets if a player hits a home run into the bullpen

BetMGM, a leading sports betting and iGaming operator, will serve as the official bullpen sponsor and backdrop for some of the most electrifying moments of the 2024 MLB playoffs. Through the partnership, BetMGM signage will be visible in every stadium’s bullpen throughout the postseason.

To celebrate, BetMGM is launching the $50,000 Bullpen Jackpot for the MLB playoffs. When a player hits a home run into the bullpen, all BetMGM customers who placed a qualifying wager on that player to hit a home run that day will win a share of $50,000 in bonus bets (contest not available in Nevada or Puerto Rico; bonus bets are non-withdrawable and expire in seven days).

The new promotion provides another tool for fans to engage with the long ball at BetMGM, succeeding the successful Grand Slam Jackpot promotion which paid out $1.85 million in bonus bets during the 2024 regular season. The integration of Angstrom, Entain’s sports modeling and analytics company, allowed BetMGM to vastly increase the breadth of their home run markets this season, resulting in a 256% increase on home run bets year-over-year.

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“Sponsoring the bullpen is an incredible opportunity for BetMGM to expand our brand by being front and center during key playoff action,” said Matt Prevost, Chief Revenue Officer of BetMGM. “We already established ourselves as the home of the regular season home run, and the BetMGM Bullpen Jackpot allows us to build upon that momentum by giving customers a stake in every swing throughout the postseason.”

BetMGM will offer more markets than ever before for the 2024 playoffs, including series home runs for players, series home run leader, head-to-head matchups and more.

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Adam Greenblatt

Gannett and BetMGM Announce Multi-Year Partnership

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Gannett Co., Inc. announced a multi-year strategic partnership with BetMGM, a leading sports betting and iGaming operator. As part of the agreement, BetMGM will serve as the preferred online sportsbook and casino partner for USA TODAY Sports providing sports betting odds and betting information across the expansive USA TODAY Network in more than 200 local U.S. markets across 43 states with more than 300 digital news and media brands in the portfolio.

“We are thrilled to announce a re-imagined partnership with BetMGM, a trusted operator in the sports betting landscape. As a best-in-class partner, our goal is to deliver their trusted sports betting information to our audience of more than 44 million sports fans – especially now that football season has kicked off. We believe BetMGM complements our existing portfolio of partners and will enable us to drive further audience growth and engagement. We anticipate this collaboration will immediately lead to an increase in the overall monetization of our content platform,” said Michael Reed, Gannett Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.

The agreement incorporates BetMGM sports betting odds into stories and content sharing betting odds, moneylines, spreads and over/unders for games as well as a BetMGM “Bet Now” feature. BetMGM Sportsbook and BetMGM Casino will be listed as a partner on website footers across all USA TODAY Network publications.

“BetMGM is proud to partner with Gannett and the USA TODAY Network. Their unrivaled reach at a local and national level enables us to connect with a massive audience. By integrating odds and insights seamlessly into Gannett’s content, we’re empowering fans to stay informed and engaged with their favorite teams and games. We look forward to a successful partnership that fuels the excitement of sports betting throughout football season and beyond,” said BetMGM CEO Adam Greenblatt.

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Gambling.com Group will serve the USA TODAY Network audience and sports enthusiasts BetMGM sports betting offers and expert insights leveraging their proprietary advertising technology in states where online gambling is regulated.

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BetMGM

Jamie Foxx Stars in New BetMGM TV Campaign for 2024 Football Season

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BetMGM, a leading sports betting and iGaming operator, is premiering a new football season television commercial series featuring Jamie Foxx. Throughout the entertaining campaign, Foxx displays his comedic range with several character impersonations showcasing BetMGM’s brand DNA: born in Las Vegas, rooted in hospitality and entertainment, and focused on treating its customers right. Filmed in Los Angeles and directed by Brian Billow, the new spots will air nationwide in prime time and continue to run on multiple platforms throughout the upcoming season.

“I always love creating fun content with my BetMGM family when football season comes around. We had a blast filming these spots and showing the swagger of BetMGM,” Jamie Foxx said.

The spots highlight the premier experience that BetMGM provides to its customers. The first spot in the series, titled “Anthem”, stars Foxx portraying a variety of characters as they go through mixed emotions on game day. Through fans’ highs and lows, Foxx demonstrates how BetMGM treats customers with hotel suites and other real-world benefits redeemable through the sports betting operator’s rewards program and exclusive connection to MGM Resorts International’s destinations and Marriott Bonvoy.

A second spot features Foxx as a sportscaster explaining BetMGM’s new “Second Chance” promotion which allows anyone who places a straight bet on a player to score the first touchdown of the game to automatically win back their wager in cash if that player scores on the second touchdown of the game. A cast of characters – all played by Foxx – excitedly question the possibilities of the new offer which is exclusively available at BetMGM for the professional football season (Second Chance paid via withdrawable unrestricted funds).

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In the series’ third spot, Foxx highlights how BetMGM makes bettors feel welcome with a special offer allowing new BetMGM customers to earn up to $1500 in bonus bets if their first bet loses (offer not available in NV, PR and ON; bonus bets are non-withdrawable and expire in seven days).

“Jamie Foxx is a rare talent who can captivate an audience in any forum. This campaign, in partnership with Highdive, taps into his confidence and range, and will both entertain and inform viewers about BetMGM’s exciting new features for football season,” Matt Prevost, Chief Revenue Officer at BetMGM, said.

“We’re thrilled to unveil our latest campaign with BetMGM featuring the incredibly talented Jamie Foxx. Our aim was to showcase how BetMGM ‘treats you right,’ and Jamie’s performance brilliantly captures the campaign’s core message,” Mark Gross, Co-Founder and Co-Chief Creative Officer of Highdive, said.

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